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韩咏红:崔永元去哪儿了?

搅动舆论场数个月之久的最高法“内贼”新闻,上周五(22日)出现惊天大逆转——联合调查组公布,原来最高法确有其“贼”,不过此贼不是举报人有意无意影射的最高法院院长周强,而是举报人王林清自己贼喊捉贼,还自导自演了伸冤呼救视频。

Stirring public opinion field several months the supreme law of the "inside" news, on Friday (22) astonishing reversal - announced joint investigation, the original method is the highest "thief", but the thief is not whistleblower, intentionally or not, alluding to the Supreme Court, zhou qiang, but the whistleblower lin-qing wang himself thief shout to catch the thief, also directed the distress video from the judge.

而一直协助王林清发声的中国媒体名人崔永元,当天即在社交媒体上“失声”,至今没有他本人的音讯。

Cui yongyuan, a Chinese media celebrity who had been assisting wang, lost his voice on social media that day, but he has not been heard from.

据说,崔永元的微博正是在22日当天6时许停止了更新,他的推特则停留在同日深夜发布的一个黑屏,引起人们无限遐想。

It is said that cui yongyuan's micro blog stopped updating at 6 o 'clock on the 22nd, and his tweet stayed in a black screen posted late at night on the same day, causing people's infinite reverie.

此后,他的好友袁立称已经联系不上他;

His friend, yuan li, said he could not be reached.

前律师李庄则称经电话确认崔永元平安在家;

Li zhuang, a former lawyer, said the phone confirmed that cui yongyuan was safe at home;

微博账号“资深媒体小草民”周三透露,崔永元没有被采取强制措施,他在联合调查结果通报前的10小时曾被带走协助调查,大约凌晨走出询问地点。

The weibo account "senior media xiaomin" revealed on Wednesday that cui yongyuan was not forced to take any measures. He was taken to assist in the investigation 10 hours before the report of the joint investigation, and walked out of the site around midnight to ask about the location.

“资深媒体小草民”的微博认证为中华时事通讯社四川频道新闻中心主任兼中国法学会会员。

"Senior media small grass people" micro-blog certification for China jiji news agency sichuan channel news center director and China law society members.

如今,李庄和“资深媒体小草民”的微博都已被删除。

Now, both li zhuang and "little grass man of senior media" have been deleted.

崔永元到底去哪儿了?

Where did cui yongyuan go?

众说纷纭。

Opinions vary.

既然官方没宣布他的罪责,隔几天就有他“没事”的消息,却没有他本人自己的声音,一个合理的推测是他被软禁,活动受限制和监视,而且被噤声。

Since there was no official announcement of his guilt and every few days there was news that he was "all right" and no voice of his own, a reasonable assumption was that he was under house arrest, subject to restrictions and surveillance, and silenced.

那么,他接下来的命运如何?

So what's next for him?

这是广大“崔粉”忧心,也让其他舆论界活跃人士相当关心的问题。

This is the general "cui fan" worry, also lets other public opinion circle active personage be quite concerned about the question.

从目前公开的信息看,崔永元本人与千亿矿权案无涉,也没有私自带走卷宗,他只不过是利用个人的巨大影响力帮助王林清发声,这算不上有罪。

From the current public information, cui yongyuan himself was not involved in the case of 100 billion mining rights, nor did he take away the file without permission. He just used his huge personal influence to help wang linqing make a voice, which is not a crime.

不过,王林清拍摄、后在网上流出的案卷材料被指涉及国家秘密,崔永元在网上发布案件副卷材料,那他是不是也泄露了国家机密,会不会被问罪?

Nevertheless, wang linqing is filmed, the case data that flows out on the net after, be accused to involve a country secret, cui yongyuan issues case vice volume material on the net, that he also leaked a country secret, can you be asked for a crime?

可能全身而退吗?

Is it possible to escape altogether?

这是他命运的重大悬念。

This is the great suspense of his fate.

有关崔永元的下场,一个说法是,崔永元或许在不久后,就会公开认错,如王林清般上电视认错,了结此事。

About cui yongyuan's end, a saying is, cui yongyuan may in the near future, will publicly admit, such as wang linqing on television admit, settle the matter.

当然,这无异于赔上他的公信力,公开承认他不断高声追问、质疑最高法有黑幕,实际上都是自己头脑发热误信了王林清,也等于承认联合调查组的结论。

Of course, this is tantamount to losing his credibility by publicly admitting that he kept asking questions loudly and questioned whether the supreme people's court (SPC) was behind the scandal. In fact, it was his own head that led him to misbelieve wang linqing. It is also tantamount to admitting the conclusion of the joint investigation team.

这也许能让崔永元脱身,免于处罚,但他的“正义使者”形象也将轰然坍塌,未来再扮演“揭黑勇士”,就比较难了。

This may allow cui yongyuan to escape, from punishment, but his "messenger of justice" image will also collapse, the future play "uncover black warrior", more difficult.

还有一说,是崔永元被指为王林清同谋和共犯,即他一早就知道王林清监守自盗的实质,甚至与王林清有利益勾连,所以合力演了这场诈骗天下的戏。

Still have one says, it is cui yongyuan is alleged to be wang linqing accomplice and accomplice, namely he knows wang linqing to guard the essence that steal oneself from behind bars early, have interest to hook up even with wang linqing, acted the drama of this con world jointly so.

不过,这个说法与崔永元的背景和他的一贯形象抵触太大,可信度低,较难取信于民。

However, this saying and cui yongyuan's background and his consistent image conflict too big, credibility is low, more difficult to win the trust of the people.

再一种可能,就是崔永元也许会长时间、甚至永远从舆论场消失,不再对任何事情发声。

Another possibility is that cui yongyuan may disappear from the public opinion field for a long time, or even forever, and no longer give a voice to anything.

如果是这个结局,则代表背后还有千丝万缕的情节也将永远得不到公开——崔永元不承认自己有错,或者不认同调查组的结论。

If this is the case, the plot will never be made public -- cui yongyuan did not admit he was wrong or disagree with the investigation team's conclusions.

而这个奇案在一些人心目中就没有了结。

And the mystery never ended in the minds of some.

今年1月,崔永元接受《联合早报》专访时说,他对自己的定位是爱国公知(公共知识分子),而且“好像全国就我一个了”。

In an interview with lianhe zaobao in January, cui yongyuan said he was positioning himself as a patriotic public intellectual and "it's like I'm the only one in the country".

崔永元还说,最高法院的指责对他名誉的损害很大,希望最高法院向他道歉,赔偿他的损失,即使只是赔两块钱,那也是法制的进步。

Cui yongyuan also said that the Supreme Court's accusation to his reputation damage is very big, hope the Supreme Court to apologize to him, compensate him for the loss, even if only compensate two yuan, that is the progress of the legal system.

没想到,如果联合调查组的结论属实,应该道歉的是崔永元,他给最高法的名誉损害才大——虽然民间的看法也是两极化,一些法学专家认为联合调查组的结论可信,也有许多人认为不可置信,还有一类网民表示“只能目瞪口呆”,多年来,从社会案到政坛腐败内情,什么事情不可能发生?

Unexpectedly, joint investigation conclusion, if verified, cui yongyuan ought to apologize, he only harmful to the reputation of the highest law - although folk view is polarized, some legal experts trust to the joint investigation conclusion, there are also many people think that unbelievable, there is a netizen said "just", over the years, from corruption in our social politics inside, what thing can't happen?

王林清案的惊人逆转,再次揭示在中国做一个揭黑幕的公知的不简单,不是一股勇气或者义愤就可为。

The stunning reversal of wang linqing's case once again reveals that it is not easy to be a public citizen in China, and it is not just a matter of courage or indignation.

人情的复杂,现实的复杂,不同力量的交错,都使得揭黑幕行动本身充满未知的风险。

The complexity of human feelings, the complexity of reality and the interlacing of different forces make the act of exposing the dark full of unknown risks.

崔永元早年为转基因视频问题论战,近期怒骂农业部,其实也非每次爆料都被证实。

Cui yongyuan in his early years for genetically modified video issue controversy, recently denounced the ministry of agriculture, in fact, not every revelation has been confirmed.

做一个汉子,希望他最终能有机会,也愿坦诚说出他对联合调查组所得结论的看法,有错则认,民众更希望联合调查组的结论能经得起检验与论证,让所有人心服口服。

As a man, I hope he can finally have a chance, and I am also willing to speak frankly about his views on the conclusions of the joint investigation team. If there is a mistake, I will admit it. The public also hope that the conclusions of the joint investigation team can stand up to the test and argument, so that everyone can be convinced.

有评论说,这次事件重创了舆论监督在中国的形象,今后各方必定会对舆论监督有更多审视和思考。

Some comments said that this incident has severely damaged the image of supervision by public opinion in China. In the future, all parties will surely have more scrutiny and reflection on supervision by public opinion.

然而,希望中国上下也不要因噎废食,传达中国不需要公知、不需要舆论监督的信号。

However, we hope that China will not give up eating for fear of choking, and send the message that China does not need public knowledge or supervision by public opinion.

倘若如此,那不是国家人民之福,而是重大损失,相信这也不是在推进现代化的道路上,领导层要传给全体国民的信息。

If so, it is not a blessing for the people of the country, but a great loss. I believe that this is not the message that the leadership wants to send to all the people on the road to modernization.


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